Lesson 2
9. Mangano et. al.
JAMA 1992
Five independent predictors of long-term
outcome were identified.
1. Vascular Disease
(hazard ratio, 6.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.5 to
15.0; P less than .0001)
2. History of congestive heart failure
(hazard ratio, 5.0; 95% CI, 2.0 to 12.0; P less than .0005)
3. Coronary artery disease
(hazard ratio, 3.7; 95% CI, 1.7 to 8.0; P less than .0007)
4. Myocardial infarction/unstable angina
(hazard ratio, 20; 95% CI, 7.5 to 53.0; P less than .0001)
5. Myocardial ischemia
(hazard ratio, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.1 to 4.3; P less than .03)
Mangano found five (really six)
risk factors: Vascular disease, history of congestive heart failure,
coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, unstable angina,
and myocardial ischemia. This study is important because myocardial
ischemia is the first risk factor that is not fixed. It is something
you might be able to change.
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